Thursday, December 29, 2016

Planning and Forecasting


Scenario base planning is among the many tools that an organization or a manger can use for strategic planning and innovation.  According to (Hodgson, 2004) the use of scenario planning validates future planning and innovative ideas. These planning tools enable as to plan strategically because ideas are not limited to only one side. This brings able lots of options and this lead to greater innovative ideas.

Scenario base planning was initially use by the military for their planning purposes but it was later transformed and introduce to business application in the early 1960s by Herman Kahn. Since then this too has been implemented various aspect of the life and innovation. The methodology has the capacity which allows to better understand it future operating environment. This tool gives the detail forecasting into the events of the future hence creating room for better planning. Since scenario planning establish approach communication between customers and developers, and allows for describing alternative options of solutions (Drew, 2006). Due to this fact this methodology could help to generate a large area for invention and creative innovations.

Innovation always seek to solve problem of the future and with scenario base planning since the technique make use of constant communication with the end-user, every innovation through this method improve new ideas and generate things that end up resolving issue that meet the needs of the organizations and the society as hood.  There are forces that help the smooth implementation of scenario base planning and innovation. 

Scenario building is

Superior to many other methods where number of factors to be considered and the degree of uncertainty are high;

Stimulates strategic thinking, creativity, communication and organizational agility

A tool for allowing individuals and organizations to 'create their own future'.

Always in terms of advantages we can say that a well-crafted (normative) scenario allows an organization to become proactive, working specifically for their desired future, rather than sitting by and passively waiting for whatever the world delivers.

Forces and Impact
 There certain elements or components that help speed planning and the innovations using the scenario base planning method.  Within this process: There is the constant use of effective communication between developers and world or the end user. The impact of this constant communication helps the developer to understand the need of the user, thereby being in the best position to develop ideas that can and will change the situation and the world at large.  
Another force that can impact these methodology is the implementation constructive thinking process. This process allows all parties in involve to think and bring about creative ideas that can help with the innovation. Since this concept is a collaboration of individuals with different ideas , it enables the desire out come to be reached.

Conclusion
In summary paper and over view seek to highlight the importance of the adoption of scenario type of planning in the design and creation of new things in the area creativity and innovation. This research went further into seeking the importance of the process as well as it impacts in the future.  I believe the implementation of this process in my organization will go a long way to help with the innovation of great and life changing solutions. I will adopt this process in the area of management and personal handling.
Scenario planning have a great impact to social changings. This is possible because of the involvement of individuals and the constant communication. This create room for the development of new ideas and this in the long end affect the social change.


Reference

Drew, S.A.W. (2006) ‘Building technology foresight: using scenarios to embrace innovation’, European Journal of Innovation Management, Vol. 9, No. 3, pp.241–257.
Huss, W.R. and Honton, E.J. (1987) ‘Scenario planning–What style should you use?’, Long Range Pla

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